Social Mood Conference  |  Socionomics Foundation


Trump’s Acquitted. Now What?

Donald Trump is now the third president in U.S. history to survive a Senate impeachment trial. History shows that the stock market’s trend is a reliable indicator of whether a president will be removed from office or resign. With stocks near all-time highs as the Senate voted, Trump’s acquittal fits the historical pattern.

The chart above depicts how Trump’s removal prospects shifted in real time in the months leading up to the Senate’s vote.

What about the president’s chances to win the 2020 election? Follow this link to get our take.