Social Mood Conference  |  Socionomics Foundation

Socionomic Theory

  • Efficient Market Hypothesis vs. Socionomic Theory of Finance

    Efficient Market Hypothesis vs. Socionomic Theory of Finance

    Next >> Socionomics vs. Socioeconomics

     
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    [Article] How to Use Socionomics to Make Specific Social Forecasts: A Case Study of the EU

    Learn how Robert Prechter and others at the Socionomics Institute have made accurate, detailed forecasts using socionomics.

     
  • Socionomic Theory

    Socionomic Theory

    The essence of the socionomic hypothesis is that fluctuations in social mood—waves of optimism and pessimism—are a natural result of human association and have consequences in social action. Social mood is not conscious, rational and objectively reactive but unconscious, non-rational and subjectively active. While people almost universally believe that the character of social events regulates social mood, socionomics recognizes that the causality is the reverse: social mood regulates the character of social activity. The causality of social mood is unidirectional; there is no feedback loop of events back to social mood. Events do stimulate brief emotional reactions, but they are transient and independent of social mood.

     
  • Public Mood

    Public Mood

    The term Public Mood is synonymous with Social Mood. For more information, visit this article.

     
  • [Article] How to Apply Socionomics Properly

    [Article] How to Apply Socionomics Properly

    The 10 core principles of socionomics, starting with foundational and counterintuitive truth that “social mood motivates social actions”…

     
  • [Article] There’s Always a Mix

    [Article] There’s Always a Mix

    Most of the world has transitioned to a more positive social mood, but some indicators — like housing prices — continue to lag. Why a mixed social mood?

     
  • [Social Mood Watch] Why NOT to Join the Crowd that Believes in “Crowd Wisdom”

    [Social Mood Watch] Why NOT to Join the Crowd that Believes in “Crowd Wisdom”

    How mind-blowing is Professor Bollen’s social mood research? Enough so that a London-based hedge fund now employs a trading strategy based upon the results.

     
  • [Article] When Mood Turns Uniformly Negative: Creating an Action Plan that Makes Sense

    [Article] When Mood Turns Uniformly Negative: Creating an Action Plan that Makes Sense

    A series of “off-the-cuff” expectations of what’s to come in financial markets, politics, international trade, the climate change movement, art, spending habits, secessionism and more.

     
  • [Video] Robert Prechter: Social Causality Is Not Physics

    [Video] Robert Prechter: Social Causality Is Not Physics

    Robert Prechter explains socionomic causality, the components of social mood and why the stock market is a leading indicator of economic change. From his July 2010 presentation at the World Futurist Society.

     
  • [Article] Did U C New Studies? Tweets N Blogs Predict Equity Prices!!

    [Article] Did U C New Studies? Tweets N Blogs Predict Equity Prices!!

    Recently published and preliminary work from researchers at four universities indicate that trends in social mood as displayed in social media predict price moves in the stock market. The studies provide important further evidence of the socionomic hypothesis: that changes in states of unconscious social mood precede—because they motivate—changes in the stock market and other social events.