Social Mood Conference  |  Socionomics Foundation

Research

  • [Article] Update: Drug War Burns Unevenly

    [Article] Update: Drug War Burns Unevenly

    Events in the U.S.-Mexico Drug War presented exactly the kind of actions we’d expect from a partway-down mood.

     
  • [Article] The Destructors

    [Article] The Destructors

    In Chapter 14 of The Wave Principle of Human Social Behavior, Robert Prechter noted the tendency for positive social mood to impel the desire to build and for negative mood to impel the desire to destroy.

     
  • [Article] WikiLeaks is on Trial

    [Article] WikiLeaks is on Trial

    On May 11, a federal grand jury in Virginia began hearing testimony against WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange for disclosing diplomatic and military secrets. Steven Aftergood of the Federation of American Scientists and a national security expert says the case is a part of a much broader crackdown by the Obama administration. He writes, “By every available measure, the level of domestic intelligence surveillance activity in 2010 increased from the year before, according to a new Justice Department report to Congress on the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act.”

     
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    [Article] Higher Tuition: Is it Finally “Enough”?

    Includes the latest developments in the education bubble and student loan debt.

     
  • [Article] Are Crowds Wise—or Mad?

    [Article] Are Crowds Wise—or Mad?

    “The wisdom of crowd effect” does exist — as long as a crowd’s members do not interact. As soon as members know what other members think, they cease to act independently. They begin to follow what the group does, even to their detriment.

     
  • [Article] Arabia’s “Days of Rage” Reflect Its Stock Markets

    [Article] Arabia’s “Days of Rage” Reflect Its Stock Markets

    Consider the following terrorism-related events: Bin Laden’s fatwa announcement, bombings of U.S. embassies in Kenya and Tanzania, the U.S.S. Cole bombing and the attacks on September 2011. What do they have in common? They ALL occurred at lows in Egypt’s Hermes stock index. The article gives you an eye-opening chart and analysis of what the “Arab Spring” says about mood – and the likely path of terrorism — in the Middle East now.

     
  • [Article] Bin Laden Exits Near a Top

    [Article] Bin Laden Exits Near a Top

    Newsweek’s cover in March 2009 declared that “Radical Islam is a Fact of Life.” Yet less than one year later — in a drastic change of tone — Newsweek’s cover stated, “How Bin Laden Lost the Clash of Civilizations: The Untold Story of the Triumph of Muslim Moderation.” Discover how and why socionomics anticipated this reversal in Islamist extremism – back when the first cover published. Also learn the one fatal error Newsweek made with its predictions.

     
  • [Article] Positive Tenor of Social Mood Expression

    [Article] Positive Tenor of Social Mood Expression

    At the 2009 bottom, economists were a bundle of nerves. Now, after a two-year rebound in social mood, they’re extremely confident. What might this change signify?

     
  • [Article] There’s Always a Mix

    [Article] There’s Always a Mix

    Most of the world has transitioned to a more positive social mood, but some indicators — like housing prices — continue to lag. Why a mixed social mood?

     
  • [Article] Glenn Beck’s Goodbye

    [Article] Glenn Beck’s Goodbye

    Glenn Beck had a meteoric rise to the top of cable news. He doubled his audience in 2008, and by early 2009 had more viewers for his 5 p.m. show than all his competitors combined. His popularity extended beyond the tube — with six straight number-one bestsellers and a massive “Restoring Honor” rally in Washington, D.C. Now — all of a sudden — Glenn Beck can’t buy a break. Glenn Beck’s sponsors started to pull out in mid-2009, his past two books failed to hit number one, his ratings endured the steepest drop of any cable news show during the period, and his “Restoring Honor” rally became the brunt of jokes and parodies. How did Glenn Beck go from accolades to insignificance in such a short period of time?