Social Mood Conference  |  Socionomics Foundation

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  • [Article] A Socionomic View of Central Bank Causality

    [Article] A Socionomic View of Central Bank Causality

    Both supporters and critics of the Federal Reserve System agree that the first cause of paper money inflation and credit expansion in the U.S. since 1913 is the Fed. How does a socionomist respond to this assertion?

     
  • [Article] The Socionomic Insight vs. The Assumption of Event Causality

    [Article] The Socionomic Insight vs. The Assumption of Event Causality

    The Enron Scandal: A Case in Point. The socionomic insight is that the conventional assumption about the direction of causality between social mood and social action is not only incorrect but the opposite of what actually occurs.

     
  • [Article] Toward a New Understanding of Growth and Recession, Boom and Depression

    [Article] Toward a New Understanding of Growth and Recession, Boom and Depression

    Since the Great Depression, we have had immense improvements in science and technology. Given seven additional decades of data collection and progress in econometric techniques, one might presume that the forecasting tools of macroeconomics have become vastly more effective than their predecessors of 1929. Yet as recently as 1988, some leading economists went on the record about the profession’s lack of progress.

     
  • [Article] The Land of Flint and Steel

    [Article] The Land of Flint and Steel

    Social clashes take myriad forms, but one bellwether rift that has an almost perfect record of erupting into open hostility right at the onset of major downturns is in the Mideast.

     
  • [Article] Did a Break in the Big Brands Signal a Decline in Social Mood?

    [Article] Did a Break in the Big Brands Signal a Decline in Social Mood?

    Can a basket of equities backed by a broad cross-section of commercial fantasy images developed over the course of a bull market reflect the end of that bull market ahead of other major indexes?

     
  • [Article] Stocks and Sex: A Socionomic View of Demographic Trends

    [Article] Stocks and Sex: A Socionomic View of Demographic Trends

    The fundamental observation of the new science of socionomics is that social mood, which is patterned according to the Wave Principle, is the generator of social action, be it economic, political or cultural. The key insight of socionomics is that the direction of causality between social mood and social action is precisely the opposite of that which is almost universally presumed; the former dictates the character of the latter, not vice versa.

     
  • [Article] Science is Revealing the Mechanism of the Wave Principle

    [Article] Science is Revealing the Mechanism of the Wave Principle

    It is one thing to say that the Wave Principle makes sense in the context of nature and its growth forms. It is another to postulate a hypothesis about its mechanism.

     
  • [Article] Science is Validating the Concept of the Wave Principle

    [Article] Science is Validating the Concept of the Wave Principle

    New discoveries in the field of complexity theory, fractal geometry, biology and psychology are rapidly yielding more knowledge bolstering the probability that the Wave Principle is a correct description of financial and social reality. This report provides a cursory overview of some of these advances.

     
  • [Article] Basketball and the Bull Market

    [Article] Basketball and the Bull Market

    This examination of that history shows the dominant influence of social mood on an American sport. Basketball is a coincident reflection of the rising mood behind the bull market of the last century. The game’s structure, rules and fortunes have developed in a manner that is totally consistent with the ebb and flow of the bull market in stocks.

     
  • [Article] A Historic Extreme in Baseball Emotions

    [Article] A Historic Extreme in Baseball Emotions

    Sports can provide a background for extreme emotions socially expressed.