Social Mood Conference  |  Socionomics Foundation

2010

  • [Article] Economists Perpetuate Trade Myths, Ignore Truths

    [Article] Economists Perpetuate Trade Myths, Ignore Truths

    For years economists and investors have been pining for and positing a single reliable, mechanical mover of stock prices. For a time it was the weekly money supply; then, the bond market; and after that, the near-term trend of the U.S. dollar. The price of oil had its time in the sun, too. Each of these indicators had a logical explanation that made it attractive. The problem was, however, that none of them were supported historically—as a quick study of the price record over time would have confirmed.

     
  • [Article] Economy: ‘Decoupling’ is Back

    [Article] Economy: ‘Decoupling’ is Back

    Investors are again pinning their hopes on “decoupling,” the idea that the world economy is immune to the United States’ financial troubles.

     
  • [Article] The U.S. Midterm Elections: Mixed Mood Delivers Mixed Results

    [Article] The U.S. Midterm Elections: Mixed Mood Delivers Mixed Results

    The U.S. elections generated multiple results expected from a partway-down mood. A “throw-the-rascals-out” theme prevailed in the U.S. House of Representatives as the Republican party decisively—even historically—defeated the Democratic House majority. In addition, voters in California narrowly rejected a referendum to legalize recreational marijuana use; who would have anticipated such a referendum just a few years ago?

     
  • [Article] Electronic Freedom: Checking the Internet’s Vital Signs

    [Article] Electronic Freedom: Checking the Internet’s Vital Signs

    In a period of negative mood, many governments will pull the plug on large swaths of the Internet. In the U.S., the landscape is rapidly changing to make such action possible.

     
  • [Article] The Mainstream Reports On the Financial/Economic Dichotomy

    [Article] The Mainstream Reports On the Financial/Economic Dichotomy

    “Financial markets do not operate in the same way as those for other goods and services. When the price of a television set or software package goes up, demand for it generally falls. When the price of a financial asset rises, demand generally increases.”
    —The Economist, August 12, 2010

     
  • [Article] Declining Social Mood Means Increasing Surveillance in the U.S.

    [Article] Declining Social Mood Means Increasing Surveillance in the U.S.

    Increased expressions of authoritarianism in concert with declining social mood.

     
  • [Article] Why A Well-Known Scholar Embraced Socionomics

    [Article] Why A Well-Known Scholar Embraced Socionomics

    This month Dave Allman conducts a wide-ranging interview with John Casti, scholar, entrepreneur and author of numerous books, including the well-received socionomics primer Mood Matters this spring. Excerpts of their conversation follow. —Ed.

     
  • [Article] Mass Arrests in Turkey’s Ergenekon Case

    [Article] Mass Arrests in Turkey’s Ergenekon Case

    In 2001, reports say, evidence emerged of an upcoming Turkish coup d’état attempt. The newly elected government took little action regarding the plot for over half a decade. Then in 2007 it suddenly launched a massive investigation and began making arrests. Many in Turkey and elsewhere believe the plot to be an invention or an exaggeration by the Turkish government and an excuse to jail dissidents.

     
  • [Article] Two Popular Science Magazines Review the Socionomic Hypothesis

    [Article] Two Popular Science Magazines Review the Socionomic Hypothesis

    John Casti’s just-published book, Mood Matters: From Rising Skirt Lengths to the Collapse of World Powers, continues to bring socionomics to the attention of the academic media. Two of the world’s most prestigious science journals published lengthy reviews of the socionomic hypothesis in their September issues. One write-up was favorable toward Dr. Casti’s book and socionomics, the other less so.

     
  • [Article] WikiLeaks Takes Center Stage; Government Reactions Intensify

    [Article] WikiLeaks Takes Center Stage; Government Reactions Intensify

    Originally published in the Aug. 2010 Socionomist   In his two-part April and May study published in The Socionomist, Alan Hall predicted that: A continuing long-term trend toward negative social mood will cause society to become increasing fearful. This movement will lead to polarized views toward authoritarianism. Increases in surveillance […]