May 11, 2017
The testimonies of former Attorney General Sally Yates and former Director of National Intelligence James Clapper, then the abrupt firing of FBI Director James Comey — who oversaw the counterintelligence investigation of the Trump campaign’s possible link to the Russians — have escalated President Trump’s confrontational dealings with U.S. intelligence agencies.
Ten years ago Senior Analyst Alan Hall forecast that Russia would grow increasingly belligerent toward the West. And indeed, democracies have become progressively alarmed about the “dark side” of Vladimir Putin — including his cyber-espionage campaign, human rights violations, nuclear weapon developments — and efforts by Russian intelligence to ally with key political operatives in the U.S. In March 2017 Alan said, “I don’t think this thing is going away anytime soon.”
A socionomist understands these developments in the context of a long-term trend toward negative mood in Russia since 2008.
If you look closely, you can see patterns in social mood that help you predict social trends. Learn more with the Socionomics Premier Membership.