June 24, 2016
In the December 2009 issue of The Socionomist, Brian Whitmer said that the rise of the European Union (EU) in the late 1990s reflected a large-degree peak in positive social mood. He also warned that the apparent progress the EU represented could be “brutally undone” when social mood became negative. Britain’s June 23 vote to leave the European Union is the first spark in what Whitmer called “The Developing European Tinderbox.” After the vote, far-right politicians in France and the Netherlands are already calling for their countries to vote on leaving the EU. Scotland is considering its place in the United Kingdom. And pro-independence groups in Northern Ireland are calling for an Irish unity referendum.
If you look closely, you can see patterns in social mood that help you predict social trends. Learn more with the Socionomics Premier Membership.