Writer, lecturer and seasoned socionomist spoke at 5thAnnual Social Mood Conference
Alan Hall is a socionomist in the truest sense of the word. Hall began studying socionomics after meeting Robert Prechter in the mid-90s, and he joined Elliott Wave International in 2006. As a leading contributor to The Socionomist, Hall has researched a variety of fascinating topics, such as the Federal Reserve, secessionism, epidemics, authoritarianism, education and eugenics. By publishing on such diverse subjects, he has demonstrated the effectiveness and utility of socionomic theory.
Hall spoke at the 2015 Social Mood Conference on April 11, 2015 in Atlanta.
Before the conference, Hall sat down with Alexandra Lienhard to chat about his background, current research and the conference. You can click the play button to watch the conversation, or read a transcript below.
Socionomics Foundation: You have a bit of an unconventional background in homebuilding. How did you become interested in studying social mood?
Alan Hall: I became interested in the stock market in the 1980s, and I met Robert Prechter on a soccer field in about 1994 when our boys played on a team together. He’s a nice guy, very encouraging, and we enjoyed talking to one another almost every week for a couple of soccer seasons. He gave me several of his books, which I read, and a new copy of The Wave Principle of Human Social Behavior showed up in my mailbox in 1999. I was very impressed with the book. It explained the history of human social behavior better than any other I’d found. The next book Bob gave me was Conquer the Crash in 2002, and because of that, I had a top-down perspective of the housing mania even as I worked within it, building custom homes that became more and more ostentatious as the mania went on. In 2004, I wound down my construction business. In 2006, Bob mentioned that he didn’t know if I could write, but that he needed writers. Long story short, in October of that year, at age 52, I went to work for Elliott Wave International and started learning another craft. It was a great opportunity, and it still is.
SF: You’ve published numerous studies in The Socionomist on how social mood affects a variety of topics — from the likelihood of disease outbreaks, to increased government authoritarianism, to the possibility of secessionism, and the list goes on. Can you talk about how a Socionomist study comes to be? How do you determine that there is in fact a connection between the subject you’re writing about and social mood?
Alan Hall: Those three topics, and many others, were ideas that Bob had previously written about. I just researched and expanded upon his insight. Occasionally, I’ve been able to add new insights, which is very gratifying. To determine the connection between the subject and the social mood trend, you compare the history of the topic to the three centuries of stock market data that we have. In most cases, the character of social behavior follows the patterned trend of social mood reflected in stock markets. This means that history often seems patterned, which has led people to say that history doesn’t repeat, but it rhymes.
SF: Out of all the social mood research you’ve done, what study have you enjoyed working on the most?
Alan Hall: Probably the most satisfying has been exploring the effects of social mood on the physical and emotional health of society. Bottom line, stock markets appear to be leading indicators for public health. I’m very hopeful that these insights can help people.
SF: What are you working on now? Are there any new, exciting topics you’re exploring?
Alan Hall: I always have several topics percolating. Right now, I’m excited about my presentation for our April conference. It’s called “A Socionomic View of Deep Time,” and the general idea is that the same mathematics and morphology that underlie the Elliott Wave Principle and create patterns in stock charts are also evident in the architecture of living creatures and in non-living physical systems. Over billions of years, as the universe, the solar system, Earth, life forms and human culture have all grown more complex, the Wave Principle has grown more evident.
SF: You’ve spoken at Social Mood Conferences in the past. What do you enjoy most about the conference?
Alan Hall: Well, walking away from the podium is always a relief! But seriously, I love meeting and talking with the people there and soaking up new perspectives. The great ideas you encounter there, you just don’t find anywhere else.