Social Mood Conference  |  Socionomics Foundation
Originally published in the Jan. 2011 Socionomist

The Obama administration has told federal departments and agencies to take aggressive steps to end the release of further classified information to WikiLeaks. The steps were outlined in a memorandum from Jacob J. Lew, director of the Office of Management and Budget. The memorandum encourages agencies to create measures to “detect behavioral changes” in employees. It encourages the use of psychiatrists and sociologists to measure “relative happiness as a means to gauge trustworthiness” and “despondence and grumpiness as a means to gauge waning trustworthiness.”

Increasingly authoritarian government rule is not surprising given the ongoing bear market in social mood at Cycle, Supercycle and Grand Supercycle degree. The Institute’s Alan Hall listed many other expressions of government authority in his study in the April and May 2010 issues of The Socionomist. “Socionomics suggests that today’s expressions of authoritarianism are occurring at the beginning of a much larger trend,” Hall wrote.


Socionomics InstituteThe Socionomist is a monthly online magazine designed to help readers see and capitalize on the waves of social mood that contantly occur throughout the world. It is published by the Socionomics Institute, Robert R. Prechter, president; Matt Lampert, editor-in-chief; Alyssa Hayden, editor; Alan Hall and Chuck Thompson, staff writers; Dave Allman and Pete Kendall, editorial direction; Chuck Thompson, production; Ben Hall, proofreader.

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Most economists, historians and sociologists presume that events determine society’s mood. But socionomics hypothesizes the opposite: that social mood regulates the character of social events. The events of history—such as investment booms and busts, political events, macroeconomic trends and even peace and war—are the products of a naturally occurring pattern of social-mood fluctuation. Such events, therefore, are not randomly distributed, as is commonly believed, but are in fact probabilistically predictable. Socionomics also posits that the stock market is the best available meter of a society’s aggregate mood, that news is irrelevant to social mood, and that financial and economic decision-making are fundamentally different in that financial decisions are motivated by the herding impulse while economic choices are guided by supply and demand. For more information about socionomic theory, see (1) the text, The Wave Principle of Human Social Behavior © 1999, by Robert Prechter; (2) the introductory documentary History's Hidden Engine; (3) the video Toward a New Science of Social Prediction, Prechter’s 2004 speech before the London School of Economics in which he presents evidence to support his socionomic hypothesis; and (4) the Socionomics Institute’s website, www.socionomics.net. At no time will the Socionomics Institute make specific recommendations about a course of action for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended.

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