If
you missed the 2011 Socionomics Summit, we have great news: The recording is
now available for order!
You can experience every engaging moment that the packed-house audience saw
and heard during the Summit: each of the 12 speakers; all of their charts, slides
and handouts; plus Q&A sessions between the speakers and audience. Learn
more about this new 3-DVD set and order your copy today.
The Socionomics Summit Speakers
Our speakers included a mix of academics and professionals who described some of the latest developments in socionomic theory and research, and also illuminated how people are applying socionomic insights to business and finance.
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Keynote Speakers
Predicting
Social Change
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The
Socionomic
Model of
Financial
Herding
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Robert
Prechter, Jr., CMT, is known for developing a theory
of social causality called socionomics, for developing a new theory
of finance and for his long career applying and enhancing R.N.
Elliott's model of financial pricing called the Wave Principle.
Prechter's socionomic theory accounts for
the character of trends and events in finance, macroeconomics,
politics, fashion, entertainment, demographics and other aspects
of human social history. Under development since the 1970s, the
idea first reached a national audience in a 1985 cover article
in Barron's. Prechter has made presentations about socionomic
theory at the London School of Economics, University of Cambridge,
MIT,
University of Oxford,
Trinity College Dublin,
Georgia Tech, SUNY and various academic and financial conferences.
In 2008 and 2010, the Georgia legislature invited Prechter to
testify before its Joint Economic Committee regarding the state's
Prechter attended Yale University on
a full scholarship and received a B.A. in psychology in 1971.
After graduation, Bob played popular music for four years while
studying technical analysis. In 1975, Prechter began his financial
career by joining Merrill Lynch's Market Analysis Department
under the tutelage of Robert J. Farrell and in 1976 began issuing
Elliott wave analysis of the financial markets. In 1979, Prechter
founded Elliott Wave International and began publishing monthly
market analysis under the masthead, The Elliott Wave Theorist.
Prechter served as a member of the board of the Market Technicians
Association for nine years and as the MTA's President in 1990-1991.
He currently serves on the advisory board of the MTA's Educational
Foundation.
Over the years, Prechter expanded his
business and now employs a staff of analysts who apply the Wave
Principle to all major markets around the world. Prechter created the Socionomics Institute, which is dedicated to explaining
socionomics, and he funds the Socionomics Foundation, which
supports academic research in the field.
Prechter has authored, edited or contributed
to more than 15 books. His book Elliott Wave Principle: Key
to Market Behavior has been translated into a dozen languages,
and Conquer the Crash: You Can Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary
Depression was a New York Times and Amazon bestseller.
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Anticipation
of Extreme
Events in
Human Society
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John
L. Casti received his Ph.D. in mathematics under Richard Bellman at the University of Southern California in 1970. Currently, Casti is a Research Scholar at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) in Vienna, Austria, where he heads an initiative for the study on Extreme Events in Human Society and is the director of The Kenos Circle, a Vienna-based society of fellows devoted to exploration of the future.
As one of the world's most prolific mathematicians and science writers, Casti has a career-long track record of visionary research, exploration and discovery. He worked at the RAND Corporation in Santa Monica, Cal., and served on the faculties of the University of Arizona, NYU and Princeton before becoming one of the first members of the research staff at the IIASA.
Casti has written numerous articles and seven technical monographs and textbooks on mathematical modeling. In addition to his technical volumes, Casti has written several popular books on science: Paradigms Lost: Images of Man in the Mirror of Science (Morrow, 1989), which addresses several of the most puzzling controversies in modern science; Searching for Certainty: What Scientists Can Know About the Future (Morrow, 1991), a volume dealing with problems of scientific prediction and explanation of everyday events like the weather, stock market prices and the outbreak of warfare; and Complexification (HarperCollins, 1994), a study of complex systems and the manner in which they give rise to counterintuitive, surprising behavior.
Casti's current research interests are focused on the exploration of questions in the social and behavioral realm and the relationship between social moods and their consequent social actions and behaviors. In this direction, his latest book, Mood Matters: From Rising Skirt Lengths to the Collapse of World Powers (Springer, 2010), addresses the directions and patterns of social causation and their implications for future trends and collective social events.
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Twitter
Mood Predicts the
Stock Market
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Johan
Bollen and Huina Mao of
Indiana University
are the main authors
of the recent study, "Twitter Mood Predicts the Stock Market." Their widely-reported research said "the
number of emotional
words on Twitter
could be used to
predict daily moves
in the Dow Jones
Industrial Average.
A change in emotions
expressed online
would be followed
between two and
six days later
by a move in the
index, the researchers
said, and this
information let
them predict its
movements with
87.6 percent accuracy."
Widespread
Worry and the Stock
Market
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Eric
Gilbert is
an assistant professor
in Georgia Tech's
College of Computing.
Gilbert's research
focuses on social
computing, but
he says it might
be better described
as "computer science inspired by sociology." He co-authored the study "Widespread Worry and the Stock Market," which
was featured in
the January 2011
issue of The Socionomist. His
research assessed
20 million entries
posted on the blogging
website LiveJournal,
and compared the
posts to later
movements in the
stock market. The
data showed that
spikes in worry
preceded stock
market losses by
two days. Gilbert
has received the
best paper award
three times from
The Association
for Computing Machinery
(ACM) SIGCHI group,
the premier international
society for the
study of human-technology
and human-computer
interaction. Gilbert
also holds the
Google Fellowship
in Social Computing.
His current research
centers on "how
emotions at a massive
scale might tell
us something interesting
about the world."
Matt
Lampert is a Research Fellow of the Socionomics Institute and a doctoral candidate in the sociology department at the University of Cambridge.
His research
applies socionomic theory to the actions of financial and political
institutions and seeks to understand financial markets from a socionomic
perspective. Prior to enrolling at Cambridge, he served as the associate
director of the Socionomics Institute, where he and colleagues launched The Socionomist in 2009. His work has been featured by USA Today, CNBC,
the Associated Press and The Futurist.
Socionomics as an Investment Philosophy: The 'Unified
Field Theory' of Economics, Physics, and Sociology
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the Presentation
Scott Reamer accepted a two year analyst
position at the investment bank of Prudential Securities in 1993, deferring
his pursuit of a PhD in Chemical Engineering. Two months later, after learning
the differences between bonds and stocks, he decided that managing a petroleum
fractionation process was not nearly as attractive as it had seemed. After
various stints in the sell-side research departments at Bear Stearns, DLJ,
Cowen & Co. and Société Générale;
and on the buy-side
as the head of
quantitative and
macroeconomic strategy
at the hedge fund
Vicis Capital,
Scott and his partners
started Chora Capital
in 2010 - a behavioral
arbitrage hedge
fund focused on
quantitatively
exploiting the
propensity of investors
to herd.
Sinatra Swings with the Waves
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the Presentation
Peter
Kendall joined Elliott Wave International as a researcher in
1992 and has been co-editor of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast,
a monthly financial newsletter, since its inception in 1999. Kendall
authored The Mania Chronicles with
Robert Prechter,
and he contributes
to research published
by EWI and the
Socionomics Institute.
Kendall served
as a financial
reporter and columnist
from 1983 to 1992.
His column "On the Money" appeared
in The Business
Journal of Milwaukee
from 1991 to 1997.
Zombinomics: How Social Mood Has Us Hungry for Flesh-Eating
Horror
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the Presentation
Kevin
Depew is
editor-in-chief
of Minyanville.com.
He is the Emmy
Award-winning writer/producer
of "Hoofy & Boo's News and Views," the
first (and only)
animated business
news show. Kevin
graduated from
the University
of Kentucky with
a B.A. in philosophy.
He spent five years
with the Daily
Racing Form, where
he covered (and
occasionally wagered
on) thoroughbred
horse racing, and
has also worked
for PaineWebber,
AG Edwards, and
Dorsey, Wright
and Associates.
Why Does Social Mood Alternate Between Positive and
Negative Extremes?
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the Presentation
Ken
Olson,
Ph.D., is a professor of psychology at Fort Hays State University, where he directed the graduate program in clinical psychology from 1981-2010. He has authored 40 academic articles and numerous presentations at professional conferences. He is a licensed clinical psychologist who has treated patients and supervised clinical staff and interns in both public and private mental health agencies. He received the first research grant awarded by the Socionomics Foundation and has written about the personality basis of social mood and the relationship between homicide rates and social mood.
Socionomics in Action: Asian Markets & Instances
of Violence
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the Presentation
Mark
Galasiewski (gala-SHEV-ski)
joined the Socionomics
Institute in 2005
and began contributing
socionomic essays
to Robert Prechter’s Elliott Wave Theorist. Since 2008, as editor of Elliott Wave
International's Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast,
Mark has presented
socionomic ideas
at investment conferences
in Japan, Hong
Kong, India, Jordan
and Egypt, and
been interviewed
by major Asian
media organizations
such as India's
CNBC TV-18 & ET
Now, Press Trust
of India, Bloomberg
TV Asia, and Bloomberg
Istanbul. A graduate
of Middlebury College
(Vermont, USA)
in East Asian studies,
he is fluent in
Japanese and conversant
in Mandarin Chinese.
When Negative Mood Demands a Revolution: A Case Study
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the Presentation
Euan
Wilson is a graduate of The University of Georgia with degrees
in economics and international affairs. After joining Elliott Wave International
in 2008, he quickly discovered his passion for socionomic research and
transferred his focus and position to the Socionomics Institute. Wilson
is now one of the leading contributors to The Socionomist, the Socionomics
Institute's monthly publication. Some of Wilson's most noteworthy research
has covered social mood's impact
on various cultural trends, including the war on drugs, civil wars,
and popular animation characters. Wilson's research has been featured
in Time Magazine, USA Today, The Futurist and Scientific American.
