Social Mood Conference  |  Socionomics Foundation

Economy

  • [Audio] Up for Sale

    [Audio] Up for Sale

    Using real estate price data from North America, Japan and Holland, Alan Hall reveals a common underlying psychological motivation behind real estate manias. The audio comes with five charts so you can see what Alan is talking about. PDF Download Running Time: 19 min 18 sec Download Audio (MP3)

     
  • [Audio] Part II: Alan Hall on Epidemic Disease

    [Audio] Part II: Alan Hall on Epidemic Disease

    Socionomist Alan Hall continues his discussion with radio journalist Tom Jeffries about negative social mood and epidemics. Part II explores how changes in mood impact human immunity. Hall discusses potential threats on the horizon and provides charts that illustrate the timing of epidemics and their similarity to financial manias. Running […]

     
  • [Audio] The Differences in Financial and Economic Decision Making

    [Audio] The Differences in Financial and Economic Decision Making

    Socionomics teaches us that people behave differently when making a financial decision to buy a stock or a home as compared to making an economic decision to buy a pair of shoes or a loaf of bread. Understanding the difference can have a huge impact on one’s success in the […]

     
  • [Audio] Did Alan Greenspan Fiddle While the Subprime Mortgage Market Burned?

    [Audio] Did Alan Greenspan Fiddle While the Subprime Mortgage Market Burned?

    Residential mortgage foreclosures are skyrocketing. The subprime sector of the market is being particularly hard hit. Even worse, did the artificial demand created by hocus pocus financing inflate the price you paid for your house? Knowledge of Socionomics and the Wave Principle can help keep these types of things from […]

     
  • [Audio] You Owe The Government $516,000

    [Audio] You Owe The Government $516,000

    That’s right. You owe the government $516,000 plus another $112,000 to your own creditors. That’s a lot of debt to pay off. How did we get here and where are we going? Socionomics offers some insights and answers. Running Time: 7 min 47 sec Download MP3

     
  • [Article] Social Mood Shapes Aggregate Opinion Regardless of Data

    [Article] Social Mood Shapes Aggregate Opinion Regardless of Data

    One way to identify the effects of inflation and deflation is to observe significant changes in the money supply and in producer and consumer prices. One would think that as such measures rise, experts would be concerned about increasing inflation, and as those measures fall, they might begin to fear deflation. Is that what actually happens?

     
  • [Article] Predicting Economic and Monetary Trends

    [Article] Predicting Economic and Monetary Trends

    How does one apply socionomic techniques to economic forecasting? A socionomist knows that the stock market is a meter of social mood, which is the engine of social progress and regress. Therefore, the current-time change in the stock market is an immensely useful indicator of upcoming economic change.

     
  • [Article] The Socionomic Insight vs. The Assumption of Event Causality

    [Article] The Socionomic Insight vs. The Assumption of Event Causality

    The Enron Scandal: A Case in Point. The socionomic insight is that the conventional assumption about the direction of causality between social mood and social action is not only incorrect but the opposite of what actually occurs.

     
  • [Article] Toward a New Understanding of Growth and Recession, Boom and Depression

    [Article] Toward a New Understanding of Growth and Recession, Boom and Depression

    Since the Great Depression, we have had immense improvements in science and technology. Given seven additional decades of data collection and progress in econometric techniques, one might presume that the forecasting tools of macroeconomics have become vastly more effective than their predecessors of 1929. Yet as recently as 1988, some leading economists went on the record about the profession’s lack of progress.

     
  • [Article] Did a Break in the Big Brands Signal a Decline in Social Mood?

    [Article] Did a Break in the Big Brands Signal a Decline in Social Mood?

    Can a basket of equities backed by a broad cross-section of commercial fantasy images developed over the course of a bull market reflect the end of that bull market ahead of other major indexes?