Social Mood Conference  |  Socionomics Foundation

GAINESVILLE, Ga. / September 27, 2011 — Vladimir Putin, Russia’s most popular and powerful autocrat, is reaching once again for the formal reins of Russian power. President Dmitry Medvedev’s announcement that he will swap jobs with Putin in March 2012 means Putin can serve two consecutive 6-year terms as president, a possible total of a quarter century in power from the time he took over in 2000. In a landmark, 2007 study on the extreme social history of Russia, Socionomics Institute analyst Alan Hall pointed out Russia’s craving for strong-man leaders and made this forecast:

“Putin could end up as a powerful prime minister directing a weak president, or, if the United Russia party retains a two-thirds majority in the State Duma, it can change the constitution to allow him to return to the presidency. Public opinion surveys show that most Russians want Putin to remain in power. He stated that he has no intention to “tinker with democracy,” but he seems to be getting in position to do just that. If he succeeds, the world may see an even darker side of Putin. History gives examples of how Russian leaders behave in bear markets. It is not a heartening record.”
– Alan Hall, Sizing up a Superpower: A Socionomic Study of Russia

Another term for Putin during a global bear market would likely signal the beginning of a wholesale return to authoritarianism and yet another episode of extreme repression in Russia, according to Hall.

For a copy of Sizing up a Superpower: A Socionomic Study or Russia or to schedule an interview with Alan Hall, contact alexandral@socionomics.net, 770-536-0309.

About The Socionomics Institute
The Socionomics Institute, based in Gainesville, Ga., studies social mood and its role in driving cultural, economic and political trends. The Institute’s analysis is published in the monthly research review, The Socionomist. Work by the Socionomics Institute and other socionomists has been covered by The Atlantic, Barron’s, Esquire Magazine, The Futurist Magazine, MarketWatch, Mother Jones, Nature, New Scientist, Science, USA Today and others. Learn more at http://www.socionomics.net.


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